Foreign Exchange Contracts: Spot and Forward Contracts
9.1: Introduction:
Forex rates can be quoted as spot or, forward contracts. When buyers and sellers agree to trade at the
current exchange rate for immediate delivery, it is known as spot transaction
or cash transaction. The word “immediate” has different meaning in this case.
It can “ at that instance” can go upto maximum of two days.
In forex market parlance, the trade date is the day on which both
parties agree to buy and sell. The settlement
date/value date is the day on which funds are actually transferred between
the buyer and seller. On settlement/value date, the buying or selling actions
will be realized by settlement of payment and receipt. Depending upon the gap
between trade and value date, spot forex trading can either be categorized as cash, tom or spot transaction.
9.2: Spot forex transactions:
When a person goes to money
changer/bank and buys one currency by paying another currency is an example of
spot transaction (or spot delivery)
and the rate quoted by the money changer/bank is the spot rate. For example, in
India, some hotels buy or sell foreign currency over the counter. Normally the
hotel/antique shops will have a display board mentioning different INR rates
for different currency. Any guest visiting the hotel can buy or sell foreign
currency at the rate displayed on the board. This is an example of cash
transaction where the trade date and settlement date coincide.
Similarly in the interbank market,
banks & financial institutions buy and sell currencies at a rate prevailed
on the trade date. However, the actual settlement for the agreed amount may
take place on T+1 or latest by T+2 days. With the advance in communication
technology and electronic fund transfer mechanism, settlement date is narrowing
down to trade date.
In India, the delivery under a spot
transaction can be settled as ready/cash, Tom or Spot as given in Table 9.1.
Table 9.1:
Different types of delivery/settlement under spot transaction.
Ready
or cash The transaction to be settled on the same day
Tom The delivery of foreign exchange to be made
on the day next
(tomorrow)
to the date of transaction.
Spot Delivery of foreign exchange would take place
on the 2nd working
day from the trade date.
9.3: Roll over of Spot/Tom contract:
Many-a-times,
settlement for spot/tom transactions may not happen on the T+1 or T+2, but gets
rolled over. In a typical spot/tom
transaction, actual delivery of one currency and receipt of other currency
happens between two parties. However, most forex traders are speculators. They
do not trade with the intention of delivering (the currency they have sold) or
receiving currency (the currency they have bought), but wants to make profit
from speculation. Hence, forex brokers allow these speculators to rollover the contracts. Rollover delays
the actual settlement of the trade and it goes on until the trader closes its
position.
For deferring the
settlement, forex brokers pay or receive interest from the trader. A trader
receives interest on the currency that has been bought and pays interest for
the currency that has been sold. Interest is calculated every day i.e, even for
weekends. Depending on the prevailing interest rate in the respective
currencies, net interest is either added or subtracted from traders account.
This goes on until the trader squares up his open position. By providing
rollover facilities, forex brokers also earn significant brokerage fee.
For example, on Day 1, a trader has entered into a spot
transaction to sell USD 1000 to a
forex broker and receive INR 47680. In other words, the trader sells USD and
buys INR. On the settlement day, (on Day 3), the trader should deliver USD 1000
and take INR 47680. However, both the trader and the broker agree not to settle
but defer the settlement by another two days. Hence, on Day 5, the trader pays
USD 1000 and receives INR 47680.
By deferring the settlement, it can be
understood that the trader has given a loan of INR 47680 to the broker.
Simultaneously, the broker has given a loan of USD 1000 to the trader. Hence
both owe each other interest for 2-days.
Hence, the trader pays interest rate on USD
1000 for two days. Similarly, the broker pays interest rate on INR 47680 for
two days. The interest payment and receipt is netted off. After two days,
either the trader or the broker pays interest rate differential.
For providing this
roll over facilities, the brokers charge different types of margins. Forex
brokers and traders enter into an agreement that forms the basis for the
rollover facility provided by brokers. The Box
9.1 highlights the policy statements regarding rollover and interest rate
for rollover spot transaction of iFinixforex brokers.
Box 9.1:
Rollover & Interest Policy for spot forex trades. Source: http://www.ifinixforex.com/2policy_rollover_interest.html
iFinix Forex policy statements provide
our clients with the utmost in transparency and client service in order to
maximize their Forex trading experience.
Rollover & Interest Policy
In the spot forex market trades settle
in two business days. If a trader sells 10,000 Euros on Tuesday, the seller
must deliver 10,000 Euros on Thursday unless the position is held open and
"rolled" over to the next value date. As a service to our traders,
iFinix Forex automatically rolls over all open positions to the next settlement
date at 17:00 Eastern Time.
Rollover or "cost-of-carry" involves the
applying of a daily debit or credit to a trading account based on positions
held open at 17:00 Eastern Time and on the interest differential between the
two currencies in the pair(s) being traded. In the majority of cases, if
a trader is "short" the
currency bearing the higher interest rate then their account will be debited,
if they are long then their account will be credited. For example, a short USD/JPY position will incur an
interest charge as one is effectively "short" US Dollars and
"long" Japanese Yen. Dollar short-term interest rates are currently
at 3.5% while Yen rates are around 0.5%, a negative 3% difference. This
interest differential forms the basis of the daily premium debit/credit which
is applied to all open trades at 17:00 Eastern Time, Monday through Friday each
week.
Let us go back to
our example of forex trader and forex broker. The trader has given a loan of
INR 47680 and taken a loan of USD 1000. Suppose interest per annum in INR is 8%
while that of USD is 4%. The trader should receive INR interest for two days
and pay USD interest for 2 days. Hence the trader’s receipt would be (INR 20.9)
and payment
would be (USD 0.2191). Suppose the
INR/US$ rate is INR 47.75 on day 2. Trader’s payment in INR terms is INR
10.465. With netting off the trader receives INR10.435.
Forex rates can be quoted as spot or, forward contracts.
When buyers and sellers agree to trade at the current exchange rate for
immediate delivery, it is known as spot transaction or cash transaction. The
word “immediate” has different meaning in this case. It can “ at that instance”
can go upto maximum of two days.
In forex market parlance, the trade date is the day on which both
parties agree to buy and sell. The settlement
date is the day on which funds are actually transferred between the buyer
and seller.


9.4: Forward forex transactions
In a
forward contract both parties enter into
a contract on a given day and lock in a fixed rate on specific future date. In such types of contract, the terms of the purchase (buy or sell) are agreed up front
(trade execution date) but actual exchange take place on a date in the future
(maturity date). On the maturity date, both parties exchange the pre-negotiated
rate. For example, an Indian company which is likely to earn foreign currency
i.e, Euro on account of an export order after one month, may enter into a
contract today ( trade execution date) to sell Euro and receive Indian Rupees
after 1 month ( maturity date). The rate is fixed on the trade date and the
rate is be known as Fwd- 1 month rate.
Suppose on trade date, the Indian
exporter agrees to sell EURO 1000 and receive INR 72450. On the maturity date,
he delivers EURO 1000 and receives INR 72450. Such types of forward contracts
are known as outright forward contracts
(OFTs).
The OFT exchange rate are quoted as
differentials that is at a premium or discount from the spot rate. For example,
if the base currency earns a lower interest rate than the term currency, then
the base currency will trade at a forward premium or above the spot rate. More
details about forward premium and discount aspects are discussed in Session 14.
As forward contracts are OTC contracts,
there are many variants to it. Forward contracts can be many types depending on
the rigidness associated with the maturity date. In a Fixed Maturity Contract, the maturity date is fixed. The payment
and receipt happens on the maturity
date. Partially Optional Contracts
provide some flexibility. In such type of contract, there are three dates, trade
execution date, option start date and
maturity
date.
On the trade
execution date, two parties agree to exchange and the rate of exchange is fixed. In addition, the parties can
settle the transaction any time during the option start date and on before
maturity date. In other words, in this contract, the maturity date spans across
days rather than a single day. In Fully
Optional Contract, the contract may end anytime during the life of the
contract i.e, anytime during trade execution date and maturity date. Figs.9(a), 9(b) and 9(c) graphically
represents fixed maturity contract, partially optional contracts and fully
optional contract respectively. Like the spot contracts, in forward contracts,
the actual settlement happens within two-business day from the maturity date.
Execution
|
Maturity
|
|
Date
|
Date
|
|





Fig 9(a) Fixed
Maturity Contract
Execution
|
Option start
|
On or Before
|
||
Date
|
Date
|
Maturity Date
|
||






Fig 9(b)
Partially Option Contract
Execution
|
Option start
|
On or Before
|
||
Date
|
Date
|
Maturity Date
|
||






Fig 9(c) Fully
Optional Contract
Almost all banks provide the forward
contracts to their clients. The forward contract duration can go as long as 2
years into future. There is no standard clause regarding the duration of the
forward contract. As these are OTC contracts, as long as both parties agree,
forward contract maturity can be of any duration.
The following example highlights this
aspect. On Day 1, an Indian importer had entered into a forward contract with a
bank to buy USD after 3 months. However, after 15 days of entering the forward
contract, the importer wants to shorten the contract duration as it has to
prepay USD to the US company for some reason. The importer asks the bank to predeliver the contract. The bank may
quote an amended forward rate. If the exporter agrees with the new rate, then the old contract is cancelled and
some fee charged.
Similarly forward contract maturity
date can be extended. If an importer wants to extend the maturity date, the
bank still fulfills the commitment and delivers the USD to the importer and
receives INR for the extended date. Banks charge an extension margin to the
original rate negotiated. In case, an exporter, (who has entered into a
contract to sell USD forward) cannot abide by the contract, he has to buy the
foreign currency from the spot market and delivers it to the bank on the
maturity date. Both exporter and bank enter into another fresh forward contract
for the extended maturity period.
Forward contracts can also be
cancelled. If the importer/exporter can not use the forward contract, the
contract can be cancelled by settling the difference in exchange between the
forward contract rate and current day’s spot rate.
However, these flexibilities in forward
contracts (closing early, extension and cancellation) may vary form bank to bank and from client to client
in a bank. These options are
exceptions rather than norms.
Normally, parties in a foreign currency
forward contract cannot unwind their position. On the contract maturity date,
one party gains at the cost of other. For example, suppose an Indian exporter
expecting to receive USD1 mn after a year, enters into 1-yaer forward contract
at INR 46.75 with XYZ bank. The exporter is expecting that without the contract
he may have to sell USD at rate lesser than INR 46.75.
Suppose on trade date, the Indian
exporter agrees to sell USD 1000 and receive INR 46750. On the maturity date,
the Indian exporter delivers 1000 and receives INR 46750.
Forward contracts are zero-sum game. Figure 9(d) and Figure 9(e)
explains the zero sum game. These two figures should be
mirror image of each other. An exporter and a bank enter into the forward contract where the exporter agrees to
buy INR (of course sale USD) at a price of INR 46.75. The exporter has taken a
long forward position and the bank has takes the short forward position. On the
expiry date, if the spot rate is greater than INR 46.75, the exporter looses
and the bank gains. If the spot rate were higher than INR 46.75, then the
exporter would have been better off without the contract. Similarly, on the
expiry date, if the spot rate would be lesser than INR 46.75, the exporter
gains. With a forward contract, the exporter is benefiting compared to an
unhedged position.
In a similar token, an Indian importer
benefits if INR depreciates after the forward contract rate has been decided.
The following Economic Times article,
given in Box 9.2 explains the
difficulties faced by Indian exporters who had entered into the forward
contract, but ended up incurring significant loss as their expectation
regarding future exchange rate was quite off the mark!.
Box 9.2. Leading exporters unwinding forward
contracts
The Economic Times, 23rd July 2008.
A 10% dip in the
value of the rupee against the dollar in three months should have resulted in
windfall profits for exporters. But for many, there have been no gains. Forward
contracts to sell the rupee at a fixed rate is leaving little opportunity for
exporters to make money even though the exchange rate has swung the other way,
with the rupee weakening.
In 2007, hit by a
13% rise in the value of the rupee, many exporters entered into forward
contracts even for long-term receivables, as in for payments expected over
two-three years. However, these contracts are now tying corporates to
unprofitable exchange rates.
Now, the latest
trend is for exporters in IT and pharma sectors to unwind these forward
agreements and to go in for currency options instead.
Unlike forward
contracts, which tie exporters to a preset deal, the options function as
insurance cover. Companies need to exercise their option to sell dollars in the
future only if the deal rate is favourable compared with the prevailing market
rate. These are somewhat similar to employee stock options, which allow
employees to buy equity shares at a fixed price. But unlike stock options,
companies have to pay a premium to acquire a currency option.
Says TCS chief
financial officer S Mahalingam, “Entering into a forward contract limits the
company’s ability to protect its revenues. Such contracts are good only for a
short period, say a quarter or two, wherein the company has a fair idea of how
much its expenses would be.”
Leading technology
companies have already begun switching over to options, moving away from
forwards. Says Patni Computer Systems chief financial officer Surjeet Singh,
“Over the past two- three quarters, we have
witnessed a shift in our hedging structure. Majority of our hedges now are in
the form of option instruments. This is a good strategy in times of high
exchange rate volatility.”
5.4: Non delivery Forward Contract:
A special type of forward contract is
known as Non-Deliverable Forward (NDF) contract. NDFs are cash-settled and the
settlement is done by calculating the difference between agreed upon forward
rate and spot rate on the settlement date for an agreed upon notional amount of
funds.
In an NDF, the principal amount, the
forward exchange rate, fixing date etc. are agreed by both parties on the trade execution date. For example, an importer and a bank enter
into an agreement where the importer would buy USD 1mn, six months from today
by paying a negotiated rate of INR48.35/USD. USD1 mn is the notional principal
amount. Suppose the fixing date is 1 week before the maturity date of six
months. On the fixing date i.e, one week before the maturity date, the
prevailing spot exchange rate is compared with the agreed forward exchange
rate. These two rates will govern the NDF settlement on the maturity date.
Suppose the spot rate on the fixing date is INR 47.75/USD.Both payment and
receipt are netted off and on the maturity date, the importer pays INR 600,000
to the bank. In effect, the importer bought USD1 mn at an INR 48.35/USD and
selling back to the bank USD 1 mn of INR 47.75/USD. Hence the importer pays INR
600,000 (the netted off amount). If, on fixing date, the exchange rate would
have been INR 49.20/USD, the bank would pay the netted amount to the importer.
In
an NDF, no exchange of foreign currency takes place.
In the above example, though USD leg of
the contract is “not delivered” but
actually, the amount settled is always in a “convertible currency” like USD. As
most of the trading in NDF happens in offshore centers, settlement amount is
always in the convertible currency.
Details given in Box 9.3, highlights the impact of NDF contracts traded outside
India and its impact on INR/USD exchange rate.
Box 9.3.Rupee hit by an invisible force.
DNA MONEY 16th June 2008.
An invisible force
is stalking the dollar/rupee market and the Reserve Bank of India could do
little to stanch the local currency's fast plunge. Blame the
"illegal" overseas non-deliverable forward (NDF) market. Illegal,
because such trades are not sanctioned by
the Reserve Bank of India.
A NDF, as the name suggests, is a
non-deliverable forward contract, in which banks buy forward dollars (book
dollars today for delivery at a specified future date) in the local market for
their clients and, simultaneously, sell equivalent dollars abroad, or
vice-versa, so that on the delivery date they make a profit or loss, which is
the difference between both the rates.
Globally, such
deals are done in currencies that are not fully convertible to take advantage
of –- or "arbitrage" –– the difference in the domestic forward rate
and the NDF rate.
Contracts can
range from one week to a year and Indian deals are mostly done in markets such
as Hong Kong, Singapore and London
(because their time zones match with the dealing room time here).
For example, the one-year forward rate
in the domestic market is INR46.70/$ 1 (46.05 is the rupee rate plus a 65 paise
forward premium), but in Hong Kong, the same forward is quoting at INR 47.68/$1
–- a clear arbitrage of 98 paise.
The RBI can't do
anything to stop the trades since they are executed outside its jurisdiction,
on foreign shores.
"It's illegal
so we can't even talk about it. But it's a peculiar situation because the rupee
is not fully convertible here, but countries where these trades are settled
have fully convertible currencies. Also, the RBI can't just go ahead and
legalise these trades because it would mean that they are jumping the
regulation just because there are some players using this route," said a
senior official of the Foreign Exchange Dealers Association of India.
Forex watchers
said such deals have primarily pulled the rupee down to 46.05 from 42.65 a
month back, a fall of nearly 8%.Dipti Deodhar, manager risk advisory, at forex
consultant Mecklai & Mecklai, said hedge funds and foreign investors have
made merry.
"NDF
arbitrage has without doubt played a crucial part in the rupee weakness. Indian
diamond companies with offices in markets like Hong Kong are also trading in
NDF. Foreign institutional investors pulling out of India have also used this
route to hedge bets," she said.
9.5: Forex futures contract:
A exchange traded forward contract is
known as futures contract. Forward contracts are tailor made depending on the
requirement of the contract buyers or sellers. However being exchange traded,
futures contracts are standardized – contract size, maturity period etc. Being
exchange traded, futures contract can be squared off easily which may not be
possible in case of forward contract. In case of futures contract, the clearing house associated with exchange
takes the counterparty risk – risk that the loss making party does not deliver
during the maturity period. Traders also have to pay margins – initial and
daily margin as exchanges require all traders to pay margin.
In India, forex futures contracts on
INR/US$, INR/Euro, INR/Pound Sterling and INR/Japanese Yen are traded at some
Indian exchanges like National Stock Exchange and United Stock Exchange. Annexure 9.1 shows the contracts
specifications for the INR/USD trading at National Stock Exchange. Different
aspects of the futures contract are given in Section 9.5.1.
9.5.1: Understanding forex futures contract specification:
Unit
of trading of
USD 1000 indicates that whenever a trader is taking position in 1 futures contract, the trader is taking
position to buy/sell 1000 USD. For example, if a trader is taking 1 long
futures contract at say INR 45.25 per USD, it indicates that the trader has
agreed to buy 1000 USD and pay INR 45,250 in future. Tick size of INR0.25 indicates that, price quotations can very in
multiple of INR 0.25. In other words, a trader can quote a price of
INR45.25/INR 45. 50/INR45.75 etc. but the trader can not quote INR 45.23. Contract cycle of 12 months indicate
that a trader can take position maximum upto 12 months. For example, in the
month of August 2011, a trader can enter into a contract to buy/sell futures
for August 2011, September 2011 upto July 2012. In other words, at a given point
of time, 12 monthly contracts are available. Base price indicates the theoretical
price based on spot rate and interest rate prevailing in both countries
(explained later). Price operating range
indicates the maximum price variation which can happen on a given day – akin to
circuit filter in stock trading. Position limit indicates the maximum
open position a trader can take depending on whether a trader is a retail client or a trading member or a bank. Minimum
initial margin
is the amount a
trader pays the moment he/she takes a futures position. The open position is also marked-to-market (M-T-M) on daily basis. Based on M-T-M loss the
trader pays additional margin – known as extreme
loss margin.
M-T-M margin works like this: Suppose
on day T, a trader takes a long futures position to buy 1000 USD at INR 43.50.
The contract is going to mature after 3 months. On day T+1 day, suppose Indian rupee has appreciated and is quoting at INR
43.15. This indicates that the
trader is buying 1 USD by paying INR 43.50 whose value is INR 43.15 today.
Hence the trader is making loss. The trader has to pay M-T-M margin based on
the loss. If the spot exchange rate would have been appreciated, then the
trader would not have to pay the margin but the counterparty to the trader
(short futures position holder) would pay the margin. To summarize, on Day T,
the trader pays, the initial margin. Everyday the open positions are M-T-M and
daily margin is calculated. Everyday the open positions are also settled based
on the settlement price. Settlement price on the expiry date is different than
the settlement price on the contract maturity date. On any non-expiry day, the
settlement price is calculated as last half an hour weighted average price. On
the expiry date, the settlement price is given by RBI –known as RBI reference rate.
Theoretical price or base price is
calculated by taking into consideration the spot price and interest rates
associated with a currency pair.
Where rIndia and rUS indicates the interest rate in India and Us
respectively. T indicates the maturity period of the contract. For example spot
rate on Day T is INR43.50/USD. Suppose the contract is for 4 months. Interest
rate in India is 8% per annum while in USA is 5% per annum.
(1 + .08 *
|
4
|
)
|
||||
12
|
||||||
Forware Rate(F
|
) = INR 43.50 *
|
= INR 43.92/USD
|
||||
INR /USD
|
(1 + .05 *
|
4
|
)
|
|||
12
|
||||||
As the interest rate in India is higher than
the interest rate in USA, Indian rupee is expected to depreciate in future.
Hence on Day T, theoretical price is INR 43.92/USD.
The electronic order book for “USDINR
290709” is given in Table 9.2 taken
from National stock Exchange website. “Best
bid” and “best ask” prices are quotations respectively from the buyers and
sellers side. Order matching happens when best buy order matches with the best
ask price.
The electronic order book for “USDINR
290709” is given in Table 9.2 taken
from National stock Exchange website. “Best
bid” and “best ask” prices are quotations respectively from the buyers and
sellers side. Order matching happens when best buy order matches with the best
ask price.
Table 9.2 : Snapshot of the electronic order
book for “USDINR 290709” Source http://www.nseindia.com
All most all major exchanges offer
foreign currency futures for different currency pairs. For example, at the CME,
futures on around 40 different currency pairs available for trading. http://www.cmegroup.com/trading/fx/ lists the currency pairs, duration of
futures contract, trading and settlement details. The exchange website mentions
the following details regarding futures and options on currency pairs: “CME Group offers the largest regulated foreign exchange marketplace in the world, and
the second largest electronic FX market. We provide trading of 49 futures
contracts and 32 options contracts based on 20 global currencies, including
major world currencies and currencies of emerging markets.”
nice information thanks for sharing valuable content with us we also provide great information related to your blog feel free to visit our Breakout trading.
ReplyDeletenice information thanks for sharing valuable content with us we also provide great information related to your blog feel free to visit our
ReplyDeleteNCD.
Great work ! I am very interesting to read your blog post. Thanks for sharing
ReplyDeleteDalal Street Buzz
CNBC-TV18
Deutsche Bank Trust Company Americas
Financial Crimes Enforcement Network